Monday March 2, 2015

The Best States to Retire in Based on Taxes

Each year various clients will inquire about what states are the most tax friendly during retirement. Unfortunately, there is no easy answer, however, let me give you a basic checklist of considerations. Instead of looking solely at taxes, you should look more broadly at additional factors that impact your cost of living.

Most individuals will look specifically at state income taxes when determining the best solution -states like Florida or Texas come to mind. With that being said, that is a very narrow look at what you should be evaluating. This post is dedicated to laying out some important factors regarding taxes and other considerations before you determine the ideal location to spend your retirement years.

State taxes income – Yes, you should look at this first because it may have the largest monetary impact. The higher your income, the more sensitive you are to this tax. If you are taking IRA distributions, receiving a pension or receiving passive income from a business, all of these would be reduced by state income tax.

There are 7 states at have no state income tax. Based in Minnesota, we have one of the highest state income tax rate at 9.85%. Feel free to go to www.taxfoundation.org/maps to see each state.

Sales tax/local tax – Depending on your activities and how much you plan to spend, you may want to put some consideration in to each states sales tax rate. This can add up over time depending on lifestyle.

Housing – Whether you plan to rent or buy, this needs to give be given serious consideration when determining your retirement destination. If you are moving in to a geography that has more expensive housing you may lose all of the savings gains by less income tax. If you plan to own a home, you should factor in property tax relative to your current rate.

Areas near lakes, rivers or oceans are going to command a higher purchase price and rental rate. Also, seasonality will command higher prices. Retirees tend to flock toward warmer climates near water. Demand may increase your cost of living.

Cost of goods and services – Very simply can you maintain the lifestyle you desire at a more or less cost than you currently? I encourage you do to your research!

Medical Insurance – Recent implementation of the Affordable Care Act as made drastic changes to the landscape of medical insurance. For people retiring before the age of 65, you will have to sign up for medical insurance through a state or federal exchange. Overlooking this could drastically increase your expenditure.

Example: In Minnesota, we are fortunate enough to have one of the lowest costs of rates. The average 64 has a rate of $401/month. Whereas, a popular retirement state, Florida, has a monthly rate of $581.1

Relocation- Remember that moving is an expensive. Whether you have family to help you or hire a moving company, the cost to relocate or add a second residence is very costly. If would encourage you to reconsider the move if you are doing it solely for taxes as this is another cost that would eat away at the tax savings.

In conclusion, there is no perfect answer to the best state to call retirement home. I encourage you to start with the checklist and then take a hard look at the lifestyle and cost of everyday living you desire. Each of these points is going to have a greater or lesser weighting based your lifestyle.

1. Manhattan Institute of Public Policy, 2014.

Wednesday January 14, 2015

2015 Market Outlook

Happy New Year everyone! Changing of the calendar year allows most of us to reflect on what we have accomplished or wished we accomplished over the last year. It also provides us the opportunity to think about the year ahead and what opportunities, challenges and changes we all will face.

The real reason for this note, is to provide some perspective on the markets as we head in to 2015. No one truly knows how this year will play out, but here are some comments from me:

Oil prices- We all have now noticed $2/gallon gas at the pump – or less! I saw $1.85/gallon in Apple Valley on 1/12. This should further help our retail economy in the US. GDP, which measures growth of our economy, was up 5% last quarter. Historically, this is a very positive number.   Low gas prices should provide a few more dollars in the pockets of consumers, which in turn most will spend. In my opinion, retailers, restaurant and entertainment will benefit the most.

Low oil prices are not necessarily good though. Many foreign and emerging market countries heavily rely on higher oil prices to support their economy. If these prices continue longer term, it could put pressure on the global economy.

Another factor that most don’t realize is that energy companies tend to carry a lot of debt on their balance sheet to fund exploration, pipelines and growth activities. With $100+/barrel oil six months ago, many energy companies were trying to expand rapidly. They did this by borrowing money and issuing bonds. This could present an issue a year or two from now if oil stays this low.

In summary, good for consumer and good for economy now. If it lasts long-term, there may be some concerns of the financial health of the companies that are carry lots of debt. It is also a concern for those countries heavily dependent on oil. Essentially low oil prices is a double edged sword for the stock market.

Interest Rates – The US 10-year Treasury rate is 1.97% as of 1/7/15. We are not being paid to invest anywhere else. Until this changes, we remain optimistic about US stocks. I would also remain positive about real estate since mortgage rates are remaining near all-time lows. Look for lots of new development in 2015.

Emotions and Behavior – The markets move on fear and greed – that never changes. Each year, media plays a bigger role influencing our investment decisions – not always for the good. Every small move in the market seems like it needs to be justified today. Remember this is the nature of markets, they don’t go straight up or straight down. Most minor moves are usually driven by investor emotions.

 

Below is a chart from Blackrock showing the emotions of investors over the past 15 years. This is good to keep in mind.

emotions of investing

 

We remain positive about the environment, however, things can change and that is what we are here for. Again, thank you for the opportunity to serve you. We wish you the best in 2015.

Regards,

 

Matt Gulbransen

Wednesday October 29, 2014

2015 Social Security and Retirement Updates

Since the fall season is now here, we get to find out if there will be a cost of living (COLA) increase for those individuals collecting Social Security in 2015. We also find out what changes the IRS will be making to 401k, IRA and other employer-sponsored retirement plans.

In an effort to make this very timely and straight-forward, I thought I would write a brief post that outlines the major impacts to all of you.

In 2015, the Social Security Administration will increase the amount its recipients receive by 1.70%. Last year, the increase was 1.50%. Starting in January this will be reflected on the amount that you receive. For those that are not collecting Social Security, this may create a slight adjustment to your estimated amounts as well. I encourage you to look up benefits after the 1st of January.

Moving on to retirement account contribution changes we see a few changes that will provide some benefit to those who are looking to save more. Although these are not monumental increases, every little bit helps and I encourage all of you to take advantage of these savings options if you are eligible. Below lists the major changes:

401k and Thrift Savings Plan– In 2015, annual employee contributions will increase to $18,000/year from $17,500.   For those of you over the age of 50, you get another break in the form of an increase to the “catch up.” This amount increased from $5,500 to $6,000 allowing for a total contribution of $24,000 for those over the age of 50 who want to maximize contributions.

For self-employed and small business owners who normally make SEP-IRA contributions, this increases to $53,000 from $52,000.

I should also note that the IRS did not increase Traditional IRA or Roth IRA contributions for 2015. Nor did the increase “catch up” provision for these either. However, they did increase the income limit by $2,000 for each of these. If you income was close to these limits previously, you may not be able to make these contributions.

To top this off, it looks as if employers are slowing becoming more willing to do 401k matches as well. During the last recession, only 70% of employers were making matching contributions to 401k participants. Today that number is up near pre-recession levels of 80%.

Saving for retirement does not happen overnight. Those that become the most successful understand the concept of consistently saving and taking advantage of these slight increases over time. I hope you found this article helpful and best of luck closing out 2014!

 

 

Sources: irs.gov, www.ssa.gov,  http://www.cnbc.com/id/102119063

Wednesday April 16, 2014

Notice: Tax law change… to the tax payer’s benefit

 

Back on March 21, a tax bill was passed changing two significant tax laws that were enforced; a Minnesota Gift tax and Estate tax.  Unlike recent trends of higher Income tax rates and few deductions, these new laws benefit the tax payer.  Before I go in to detail of the changes, let me give a brief background of these tax laws previously.

Minnesota is one of 16 states the currently has an estate tax in place – keep in mind this is above and beyond the Federal Estate tax laws in place.  Prior to 2014, the Minnesota exemption was only $1 million; meaning that if your estate was greater than $1 million upon death you would be exposed to Minnesota estate tax.

When looking at Gift tax laws, Minnesota was one of only 2 that imposes a state gift tax – Connecticut being the other state.  Minnesota passed this bill just last year on May 20, 2013.  At first glance, one may feel that Minnesota has fairly harsh tax laws when looking at these two laws compared to the other states.  Minnesota Legislature and Governor Dayton took a lot of heat with regards to these two laws.

Fast forward to 2014, the Legislature repeals the Gift tax bill retroactively they just voted in favor of the year previous.  This means that no one would have exposure to this tax in 2013 or 2014.  While doing this, they also increased the exemption on Estate tax from $1 million to $2 million.  However, this will be a gradual increase over the next 5 years until 2018.  This new bill will increase the Estate tax exemption by $200,000 each year until it reaches $2 million in 2018.

In conclusion, both of these changes provide a great deal of flexibility for Minnesota residents when doing their estate planning.  As an advisor, we want to make sure clients can minimize their total tax and pass on their hard earned assets to those they desire.  It has been my experience that estate planning is the most overlooked area of financial planning.  Most people end up procrastinating on this because planning for your passing is not desirable to anyone, however, if passing assets on or making the distribution of your estate as simple as possible I highly advise you to take action.

Please reach out if you have any questions.  Hope you found this informative and have a great week,

Matt

 

 

Source: Minnesota Department of Revenue

Tuesday February 18, 2014

Do I need a Financial Plan?

As most people near retirement – or at least start to dream about it – they begin to ask themselves questions that they have probably been avoiding or pushing off for years.

Do I have enough?

When should I take my pension or social security?

Can we afford to go somewhere different during the winter months?

What should I anticipate healthcare costs to be?

All of these questions lay the foundation for one of the most important decisions you will make in your lifetime – when to retire.  The last thing you will want to do is retire and figure out the answer to these questions afterwards.  That could be very scary and stressful.  After all, retirement is supposed to be stress-free and enjoyable – at least that is what all the commercials say!  So how do you prepare yourself to for that next chapter in your life?  It is very simple; it is to build a Financial Plan.  This is the first post of a many dedicated to the importance of having a financial plan.

According to Princeton Survey Research, 69% of retirees have not done a comprehensive financial plan to prepare themselves for retirement.  WOW!  This blows me away.  Many people have worked all their lives to prepare themselves for this new journey, yet most are not willing to put in the time to make sure they will have enough money, will they run out of money or how do they distribute their assets in the most effective way.  Imagine someone told you to get in your car and drive to Mexico without a map, directions or signs – could you do it?  Possibly, however, you probably had a few bad decisions or wrong turns along the way and hopefully you did not run out of money for gas.

The point I am trying to make is very simple –  many of you could make it through retirement without a financial plan and not run out of money, however, you probably could have done a few things smarter and potentially with less risk.  The question you all need to ask yourself is – am I willing to put in a minimal amount of time and effort to work with someone to develop a financial plan that helps my family live smarter in retirement?  I hope most of you answer yes!

Let’s cut to the chase and talk about specifically what a financial plan can do for you.  Oftentimes, the biggest misconception about a plan is that it is just a basic income projection to determine if you will run out of money or not.  Many plans will use unrealistic assumptions like returning 6% year after year. A financial plan is a working document that serves a map to point you in the right direction as you proceed through life.  A good financial plan should be proactive and present future roadblocks before you hit them.  Things like taxes, income needs, rate of return and risk all change over time.  Being able to update and see how all these variables affect your plan is the true value in having one.

In my experience most people do not want to know how much money they can leave to their beneficiaries – they want to know how much risk they have to take so they can live through their retirement without unnecessary risk and volatility.  Imagine if there was a strategy to distribute your assets with while paying less taxes or maximizing the total amount of Social Security between you and your spouse.  This is what a financial plan does.  You are able to look at all possible variables to determine how they all affect each other and see which the smartest decision for you going forward is.

Financial plans can also provide additional advantages for people planning for retirement that have nothing to do with money but everything to do with our emotions.  Going through the exercise to develop a plan is fantastic; however, sticking with it becomes the difficult part – especially when we become emotional.

We as humans are creatures of habit and all have similar traits in some respects.  When it comes to behavior and emotions, oftentimes this is even truer.  Our emotions swing from being really excited and overly optimistic when something great happens to depressed and lethargic when things do not go our way.  Our emotions cause us to veer off the trail of our financial plan when things do not go exactly according to plan.

Financial planning is a process or a working document, once it is completed you do not leave it on the shelf to collect dust.  It needs to be reviewed annually to assure you are still on the right track, but more importantly, you need to stick with it.  Emotionally this is tough to due.  I am going to talk briefly about a few common behaviors that the typical person encounters when making financial decisions.

Following the Crowd

“So and so said to buy xyz stock because his cousin has owned it and made a bunch of money.”

“They said the market is going to going to crash.”

These are comments I hear all the time and my first response is usually, “Who is They?”

Following the crowd is usually precedes a market crash.  In the late 90s, everyone was telling everyone to buy technology stocks.  In the middle 2000s, everyone was borrowing as much money as they could so buy real estate.  From a behavioral standpoint, the same mistakes were made.  People were following the crowd without looking at their financial plan or having a basic strategy of how they were going to handle these particular investments based on a good or bad outcome.  Neither situation turned out well for those who invested in these times without a basic plan.

As you plan for retirement, you need to determine the amount of risk you need to take as a family to achieve your goals and not follow the actions of others.  The last thing someone needs to do prior to retirement is take unnecessary risk.  Proper planning will help you determine your risk tolerance so you know what investments are suitable for your situation.  Even if you do want to follow the crowd on a specific idea, a plan would at least help you determine how much you can afford to risk or lose.

Fear and Greed

When markets go up you become over confident and think the markets will continue to go up.  It is almost like feeling invincible.  Then when the markets go down we get scared and don’t want to lose our money.  Buying high and selling low is not a viable investment strategy.  This behavior alone is the main reason investors should have a well-defined risk tolerance and asset allocation strategy so they are able to stick with their investments during all market conditions.  A financial plan helps you avoid this demon from destructing your wealth because you have written investment policy for your money.  According to Dalbar and Associates, the average investor returns less than have the S&P 500 over the last 20 years.  This behavior mistake has been the primary reason for that.

Confirmation bias

This is simply finding or believing information that supports your opinion.  If you think the markets are going to do down, you will only look for or read information that confirms your preconceived opinion that the markets are going to go down.  You must take an unbiased approach to investing or will get caught taking too much risk believing your opinion.  The media does a fantastic job of manipulating our minds when it comes to confirmation bias.  I’ll touch on media in a second.

Hindsight

“I saw this crash coming in 2008 and wish I would have sold.”

“If I only would have put more money in that stock I would be rich and retired.”

If I had a nickel for everything I have heard that I would be retired!!  This is a thought that is unavoidable and we all have experienced.  We can’t dwell on the past, only focus on the future.  Use your energy and efforts to help improve future results.  The past is only the past.

Media

At some point I will do a whole post on the affects media has on investors.  To be brief for this post, keep in mind that the media does not have your best interest at heart.  Their job is not to help you make more money or take less risk; their job is to sell advertising.  They use all these behavior finance mistakes against you to increase their ratings.  Little is done to hold media accountable to what they say or do.  Although media can provide some guidance from time to time, rarely is it specific to one person or group.  Follow your financial plan, not the media.

I have just wrote about how emotions that can ruin a person’s retirement if they do not harness their behaviors appropriately.  A financial plan alone will help you elevate some of these mistakes assuming your follow your plan.  This is where a Financial Advisor can help.  A good Financial Advisor should not only help you create your plan, but make sure you do not fall victim to your own demons and see that plan through.  One emotional lapse could wreck years of hard work.  Proper advice and guidance should shepherd you those emotional times and keep you focused on the end goal.

Hopefully I have driven home my point to everyone.  I am very passionate about this topic.  Please take the time to plan for you and your families’ future as there is really no excuse not to.

 

Matt Gulbransen, AWMA, is a Financial Planner in the Minneapolis/St. Paul metro area.  He works with pre-retirees and retirees to help prepare them for retirement.  He has offices in Woodbury and Apple Valley, MN.

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